Job growth stronger than previously thought
Original post made by stephen levy on Sep 27, 2013
For the 12 months ending in March 2013 jobs in California increased by 3.0% compared to the national growth rate of 1.6%. The same data show Texas with a 3.0% gain along with Colorado and Idaho. Two states had a higher job growth rateUtah at 3.3% and North Dakota at 4.4%.
Bay Area counties did even better for job growth. San Francisco posted a 4.3% job gain followed by Santa Cruz (4.2%), Santa Clara (3.8%), San Mateo and Sonoma at 3.4%, Alameda (3.2%), Solano (3.1%) and Contra Costa (3.0%).
A 3% growth rate in Bay Area jobs translates into an increase of roughly 100,000 jobs in that year.
Unemployment rates, while still above historical levels in a good economy, are falling rapidly in the region and four counties now have rates between 5% and 6%.
The implication of these job and unemployment trends is that continuation of job growth will increase pressures for more people to live and work in the region.
It is likely that job growth rates will decline in coming years but job and population growth is now firmly on track to meet or exceed the 1 million more jobs and 2 million more residents expected in the regional Plan Bay Area adopted this year.
Growth does bring change and pressures and residents and businesses have different experiences of the benefits and costs. But denying the growth does no good for reaching solutions, just as denying climate change is not helpful in the face of strong evidence of its existence.
One has only to look around the Valley and north up the peninsula to see building, expansions and growth all around.
on Sep 27, 2013 at 10:36 am
Mr Levy: both Texas and CA had 3% growth. As the two largest states mentioned, I'm interested in the difference between the jobs created. Any more info that will shed light on that?
on Sep 28, 2013 at 5:50 pm
stephen levy is a registered user.
There is actually not that much difference. Texas had more job growth in mining and manufacturing while California had more job growth in construction.
Both state had substantial job growth in health care and hospitality where restaurants are counted.
California had nearly twice as many new jobs in professional and business services. California job growth was constrained by a loss in government jobs.
The main points I was making are 1) For this year the CA economy showed good job growth and the Bay Area posted even stronger job gains.
In the regional debate about future housing growth, some parties have argued that too much housing is anticipated as Bay Area job growth projections are too high. I am pointing out that so far the projected growth track is being exceeded and as unemployment drops further, the region should expect population growth pressures.
Even last year Santa Clara County posted the state's highest % population growth.